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Metadados

1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34R/428HEUP
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/03.30.11.59
Última Atualização2020:03.30.11.59.33 (UTC) administrator
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/03.30.11.59.33
Última Atualização dos Metadados2022:01.04.01.35.02 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1175/WAF-D-19-0106.1
ISSN0882-8156
Chave de CitaçãoGublerSBACEJMSSS:2020:AsECSE
TítuloAssessment of ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal forecast performance over South America
Ano2020
MêsApr.
Data de Acesso30 abr. 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho5639 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor 1 Gubler, S.
 2 Sedlmeier, K.
 3 Bhend, J.
 4 Avalos, G.
 5 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos
 6 Escajadillo, Y.
 7 Jacques-Coper, M.
 8 Martinez, R.
 9 Schwierz, C.
10 Skansi, M. de
11 Spirig, C. H.
Grupo 1
 2
 3
 4
 5 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Afiliação 1 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss
 2 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss
 3 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss
 4 Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú
 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 6 Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú
 7 Universidad de Concepción
 8 Centro Internacional para la Investigación del Fenómeno de El Niño
 9 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss
10 Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Buenos Aires
11 Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor 1 stefanie.gubler@meteoswiss.ch
 2
 3
 4
 5 caio.coelho@inpe.br
RevistaWeather and Forecasting
Volume35
Número2
Páginas561-584
Nota SecundáriaA2_INTERDISCIPLINAR A2_GEOCIÊNCIAS
Histórico (UTC)2020-03-30 11:59:33 :: simone -> administrator ::
2020-03-30 11:59:34 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020
2020-06-23 22:27:09 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020
2022-01-04 01:35:02 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
ResumoSeasonal predictions have a great socioeconomic potential if they are reliable and skillful. In this study, we assess the prediction performance of SEAS5, version 5 of the seasonal prediction system of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), over South America against homogenized station data. For temperature, we find the highest prediction performances in the tropics during austral summer, where the probability that the predictions correctly discriminate different observed outcomes is 70%. In regions lying to the east of the Andes, the predictions of maximum and minimum temperature still exhibit considerable performance, while farther to the south in Chile and Argentina the temperature prediction performance is low. Generally, the prediction performance of minimum temperature is slightly lower than for maximum temperature. The prediction performance of precipitation is generally lower and spatially and temporally more variable than for temperature. The highest prediction performance is observed at the coast and over the highlands of Colombia and Ecuador, over the northeastern part of Brazil, and over an isolated region to the north of Uruguay during DJF. In general, Niño-3.4 has a strong influence on both air temperature and precipitation in the regions where ECMWF SEAS5 shows high performance, in some regions through teleconnections (e.g., to the north of Uruguay). However, we show that SEAS5 outperforms a simple empirical prediction based on Niño-3.4 in most regions where the prediction performance of the dynamical model is high, thereby supporting the potential benefit of using a dynamical model instead of statistical relationships for predictions at the seasonal scale.
ÁreaMET
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
URL dos dadoshttp://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/428HEUP
URL dos dados zipadoshttp://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/428HEUP
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvogubler_assessment.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentodenypublisher6 allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Leituraallow from all
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.02.22.14 1
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA; COMPENDEX.
Acervo Hospedeirourlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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